Midwest Drought Recovery: How 2025 Is Shaping Up for Farmers After a Dry Fall

After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Apr 16, 2026Upper Midwest sees significant drought removal - Pro Farmer+0.6%
• Apr 5, 2024Drought Conditions Improving in Much of Midwest | Red River Farm Network-2.2%
• Jul 23, 2025Minimal Drought Expected Through Fall 2025 in Primary US Crop Areas+0.5%
• Jun 25, 2021Farmers and Crops Welcome Recent Rains, as Drought Deepens for Others+5.6%
• Jun 25, 2026Midwest crops fare well amid variable drought | Feed & Grain-0.8%

After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Apr 16, 2026Upper Midwest sees significant drought removal - Pro Farmer-0.2%
• Sep 26, 2023After historic drought, El Niño rains pose new hurdle for Brazil’s farmers-1.6%
• Apr 5, 2024Drought Conditions Improving in Much of Midwest | Red River Farm Network-1.8%
• Jul 23, 2025Minimal Drought Expected Through Fall 2025 in Primary US Crop Areas-2.8%
• Jun 25, 2021Farmers and Crops Welcome Recent Rains, as Drought Deepens for Others+5.5%