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Corteva's 2025 Corn Belt planting outlook says a weak La Niña is fading toward neutral, leaving confidence in April planting weather low. Early-March models show colder-than-normal conditions that could slow soil warmup, while April–June forecasts disagree.
DTN's analog years (2018, 2006, 2001) showed no consistent pattern.
Uncertain spring weather raises the risk of planting delays or dryness that could tighten feed grain supply and support corn and soybean meal prices later in the season.
corteva.comFeb 20, 2025After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
