
North Central US drought shifted during 2025, moving from the western Plains and Midwest in spring to new dryness east of the Mississippi River by December. Dry soils in the east raise concerns for moisture heading into the 2026 growing season.
Lingering dryness in the eastern Corn Belt and feed-supply concerns could support forward feed grain prices if drought persists into spring 2026.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.