
Midwest farmers faced a wet spring with replanting, then a dry summer, leaving lower yields and smaller soybean seeds. Harvest has stretched into November as producers assess yields that vary by drainage and stand quality.
Lower per-acre yields reduce available supply, which supports corn and soybean prices if demand holds.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.