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Australian barley estimates from the Grain Industry Association of Victoria put the Victorian crop at 6.44 million tonnes, up 82% year on year, with yields above the ABARES estimate. Southern first-cross barley trades around 262 to 275 dollars per tonne.
A very large Victorian barley crop adds to exportable and domestic feed supply, and barley is already priced cheaply, so the outlook is bearish for barley values.
farmonline.com.auOct 28, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
