
The DTN Digital Yield Tour estimates Kansas corn at 112.5 bu. per acre for 2026, below 2025's 138.7 and the USDA RMA five-year average of 115.5. Soybeans are estimated at 38.9 bu. per acre, below 2025's 42.8 and the five-year average of 42.6, with drought and heat hurting western Kansas.
Below-average Kansas yields for both crops reduce hard red winter and feed supplies from a key state, supporting corn and soybean prices. Yields in the east remain good, which limits the overall impact.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.