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StoneX says November canola hit resistance at C$650 per tonne, the 50-day moving average, after heat in the EU, Ukraine and Western Canada lifted it about C$50 that week. Analysts see wheat as the strongest bullish story because European quality and protein are poor and major exporter stocks are tight.
European wheat quality problems and tight exporter stocks support wheat prices, while large US and Brazilian soybean supplies cap canola rallies.
stonex.comCraig TurnerJul 19, 2024After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
