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AHDB warns that a 15% drop in arable output from drought could cut farm profits by 61%. The article notes that wheat and barley prices rose during summer 2026, which may offset some lost income.
Drought-driven yield losses in the UK would tighten domestic wheat and barley supplies and could support prices. Higher prices partly offset the yield loss for growers.
farminguk.comOct 28, 2026After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
