
Soybean futures rose 10 to 15 cents early on July 2, supported by gains in soybean oil. Weekly export inspections fell 13.4% from the prior week but remained above last year, and USDA's Fats & Oils report showed May crush slightly below expectations with soy oil stocks below estimates.
A soybean crush below expectations and tighter soy oil stocks point to firm oil and meal supply, supporting prices. Year-to-date exports lagging last year by 16% limit the upside for soybeans.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soyoil gains lifted soybeans on July 2, and May crush and soyoil stocks came in below expectations, supporting prices.