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Latin American currencies rose on Monday led by Brazil's real, which jumped nearly 1.5% against the dollar and is up 12.6% year to date. The gains come as surging commodity and oil prices, tied to sanctions on Russia over the war in Ukraine, support the region's currencies.
A firmer real alongside high commodity prices tends to make Brazilian grain and oilseed exports pricier in dollar terms, while the Russia-Ukraine conflict and sanctions keep global feed and energy prices elevated.
financialpost.comReutersMar 21, 2022After 244 past bearish events of any kind, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +0.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Higher commodity and oil prices after Russia sanctions boosted Brazil's terms of trade and Latam FX sentiment, with the real jumping about 1.5% on March 21 and contributing to the week's decline in BRL per USD.
