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The Brazilian real dropped to a record low and stocks slumped the most since early 2023 after a proposal to cut about $12 billion in public spending disappointed investors. Concern about the budget deficit drove the sell-off.
A weaker real driven by budget-deficit worries makes imported feed inputs more expensive for Brazilian buyers and supports a higher dollar price for Brazilian-origin commodities.
bloomberg.comGiovanna Bellotti AzevedoNov 28, 2024After 12 past bullish policy events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +1.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.0%), and +2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Disappointing spending cuts on Nov 28 raised fiscal deficit concerns and drove the real to a record low, starting the sell-off within the 5-day window (sentiment/capital outflow).
