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Corn prices broke out of a three-year trading range after July heat hurt US production. A bullish August WASDE report, a Pro Farmer yield estimate, European drought and Black Sea shipping disruption also supported the rally.
Heat-damaged US and European crops, plus expected record corn imports, tighten the global corn balance. The analysis points to bullish corn prices with continued volatility.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.