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U.S. natural gas is on track to become the world's most expensive gas for the first time in more than a decade, as COVID-19 lockdowns cut demand in Europe and Asia. U.S. futures rallied about 10% in April on bets that the oil crash would curb associated gas output, while Asian and European prices fell to new lows.
The narrowing of the global gas price premium weakens the economics of U.S. LNG exports, while the expected output cut from lower oil drilling supports domestic prices.
energynow.comApr 23, 2020After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes U.S. futures rallying about 10% in April on bets that the oil crash would curb associated gas output; it is dated after the window but confirms the supply-driven mechanism.
Describes the April rally on bets that the oil crash will curb associated gas output, confirming the supply-expectation mechanism, though it is published a day after the window ends.
