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The dollar fell to mid-2018 lows on Monday as investors bought riskier currencies, with the yuan rising to 6.44 per dollar after Beijing cut the dollar's weighting in its currency basket. The euro climbed 0.6% to $1.2294 and Chinese factory activity continued to accelerate in December.
A weaker dollar and a firmer yuan support dollar-priced commodity values and Chinese import demand. Accelerating Chinese factory activity points to steady feed demand.
brecorder.comReutersJan 4, 2021After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of a broad dollar slide to mid-2018 lows and a yuan rise to 6.44 per dollar after Beijing cut the dollar's basket weighting, which is a direct driver of the CNY appreciation.
