DAP prices in the US rose sharply in the third week of September 2022, reaching $806/tonne delivered Illinois with a weekly gain of 13%. Hurricane Ian threatened Florida phosphate operations owned by Mosaic and Nutrien, which supply DAP and MAP.
Florida phosphate output is a key domestic supply source, and a prolonged outage would force costlier imports under US levies on Russian and Moroccan phosphate, pushing fertilizer costs higher for feed grain producers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.