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China's yuan firmed against the US dollar on Tuesday after the central bank set its midpoint fixing at the strongest level in more than two years. The dollar pared some losses after US senators agreed to lift a three-day government shutdown but stayed near a three-year low against a basket of currencies.
The PBOC had recalibrated its daily fixing formula to neutralize a counter-cyclical factor.
A stronger yuan lowers the local-currency cost of dollar-priced imports such as soybeans, which can support Chinese buying. A weaker dollar also tends to firm dollar-denominated commodity prices.
preprod.indianexpress.comReutersJan 23, 2018After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The strongest fixing in over two years and the PBOC's removal of the counter-cyclical factor began the run of yuan strength that carried into the 25 Jan move, though it predates the day itself.
