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The Federal Reserve's January 2022 Beige Book reported mixed agricultural conditions, with dry weather in parts of the Atlanta district. Chicago district contacts expected lower farm income in 2022 as input costs outpaced crop prices, and farmers increased forward contracting to secure supplies.
Rising input costs and tighter farm margins may limit planting and feed demand, while forward buying signals underlying support for feed ingredients.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith GoodJan 14, 2022After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
