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BNP Paribas Asset Management argues that China's exchange rate policy favours a stable renminbi, but the factors that supported the currency are turning negative. Its view is that the renminbi should weaken in 2022.
Possible US tariff exclusions for Chinese exports could also give the currency some support.
A weaker yuan would make Chinese purchases of US dollar-priced feed ingredients more expensive, which could dampen import demand. The view is an analyst forecast rather than a confirmed move.
bnpparibas-am.comChi LoDec 9, 2021After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
