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Grain and soybean futures rose during the week ahead of the G20 summit and the U.S.-China leaders' meeting. The two sides agreed to a 90-day ceasefire with no new tariffs while they negotiate further, but existing Chinese tariffs on U.S. soybeans and cotton remain in place.
Corn and soybeans posted bullish weekly reversals, while wheat gained on hopes for U.S. export demand.
The truce removes the threat of escalating tariffs and raises hopes of renewed Chinese buying of U.S. soybeans, which supports prices. Abundant U.S. supplies and favorable South American weather limit the upside for feed grains.
agrimarketing.comDec 3, 2018After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn posted a bullish weekly reversal ahead of and after the G20 ceasefire, indicating sentiment and technical buying behind the rally.
