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Crude oil futures posted their biggest weekly percentage falls since April 2020, with WTI down 12.8% and Brent down 11.1%. The decline followed the U.S. reserve release, expected IEA member releases, Covid lockdowns in Shanghai, and concerns about a U.S. recession after the Fed raised rates.
Expected coordinated reserve releases from other IEA members add supply and extend the downward pressure on crude. Demand worries from China and a possible U.S. slowdown reinforce the bearish price outlook.
sharecafe.com.auGlenn DyerApr 3, 2022After 215 past bearish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, BRENT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
It lists the SPR release, expected IEA releases, Shanghai Covid lockdowns (demand) and US recession fears after Fed hikes as drivers of the weekly drop.
