
Oil prices fell after OPEC+ delayed its decision on easing output cuts. The group had been expected to ease cuts of 7.7 million bpd by 2 million bpd from January, but was considering extending existing curbs into early 2021, backed by Saudi Arabia.
Delay raises the prospect of tighter supply, which would normally support prices, but the immediate reaction was a sell-off on uncertainty about policy. Energy price swings feed through to freight, fertilizer and biofuel-linked demand for feed inputs.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.