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Wet weather slowed corn and soybean planting, with USDA reporting record slow corn planting for the mid-May window. Grain futures rose after a planting rally, and soybeans gained after funds held a record bearish position.
Trade friction with China and talk of a $2 per bushel soybean tariff compensation payment were also cited.
Delayed planting and possible switching to soybeans tighten the outlook for corn supply, supporting prices, while tariff aid could shift acreage between crops.
farmprogress.comNational Hog Farmer StaffMay 24, 2019After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 55 past neutral weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weekly review shows wet weather slowing planting and soybeans rallying as funds held a record bearish position, pointing to short-covering that lifted prices.
The weekly review ties the soybean gain to planting delays and a record fund short position, so short covering could extend into the following session.
