Brent was on track for its biggest weekly gain since December 2016 after Saudi Arabia cut output ahead of the OPEC deal taking effect. Fears over global demand persisted ahead of U.S.-China trade negotiations, and the Chinese central bank lowered reserve requirements to support growth.
Saudi output cuts reduce crude supply and push prices higher, raising energy costs for feed producers. Demand uncertainty from the trade dispute caps the rally.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Saudi output cut ahead of the OPEC deal drove Brent's biggest weekly gain since 2016, with trade talk and demand fears as offsets.