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Former People's Bank of China Monetary Policy Committee member Yu Yongding said China will keep facing capital outflow and currency depreciation pressure in 2017. He was quoted by the Economic Information Daily, and his remarks suggest Beijing cannot let the yuan fall more than about 25 percent.
Persistent capital outflows and a weaker yuan raise China's import costs in dollars and tighten the outlook for Chinese feed demand. A firm policy floor on the yuan limits how far the currency channel can pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices.
reuters.comJan 9, 2017After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
