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India's soymeal exports could more than double in 2022/23 to 1.5-2 million tonnes as drought in Argentina cut that country's soybean output forecast to 41 million tonnes. Oil mills have contracted around 260,000 tonnes for January and February shipments to Asian buyers.
Cheaper Indian soymeal substitutes for tight Argentine supply, adding competitive export flows that could cap global meal prices. Argentina's drought shortfall is the underlying driver of the trade shift.
brecorder.comReutersJan 18, 2023After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
