CBOT soybeans fell 9-3/4 cents to $15.14-3/4 and corn dropped 4 cents to $6.77-1/4 as forecasts of rain in drought-hit Argentina triggered selling. Wheat also declined, and analysts noted weaker Chinese demand during the Lunar New Year and a record Brazilian soy harvest.
Improved Argentine rain prospects reduce the risk of a deeper South American supply shortfall, lowering prices for soy and corn. Expectations of a large Brazilian crop add further bearish pressure for feed buyers.
After 363 past bearish weather events, SOY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 334 past bearish weather events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.