
Demand for liquefied natural gas from Japan, China, South Korea and India has fallen sharply as virus-containment measures hit economies. Asia's spot LNG price dropped to a record low of $1.85/mmBtu, and some suppliers have begun cutting output.
Collapsing LNG demand and record-low spot prices are weighing on global gas benchmarks, with producers at risk of shutting in supply. Lower gas prices reduce input costs for nitrogen fertilizer and energy.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record-low Asian spot LNG prices and falling LNG demand weakened the global backdrop and US export pull, adding bearish pressure.