
CME live cattle futures set life-of-contract highs on Friday as speculative buyers responded to a USDA report showing a 3% year-on-year drop in the U.S. cattle herd. Feeder cattle futures also closed higher, with the March contract up at 186.100 cents per pound.
A shrinking herd tightens future beef supply, supporting cattle prices and feeder values for buyers and feedlots.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Speculative buying set life-of-contract highs after the herd report, and that momentum carried into Monday.