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Winter crop planting is nearly complete in the UK, with oilseed rape, rye and oats acreage rising. Winter wheat area may fall in line with the oat increase.
Expected shifts in UK crop mix, with more oats and less wheat, add modest feed grain supply to the market.
After 72 past bearish report events, Oats moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.7% to +3.8%), and -2.5% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.