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Live cattle and feeder cattle futures rallied sharply on oversold technicals, commercial buying and a discount to cash trade. China announced new tariff targets that include U.S. beef, but no start date was set.
Cash fed cattle traded mostly at $117-118 live.
Trade-war headlines added uncertainty, but the futures rebound was driven mainly by technical and positioning factors. Lower feeder prices relative to corn support feeding margins only if the tariff remains unimplemented.
brownfieldagnews.comApr 4, 2018After 78 past bullish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 47 past bullish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
