
The Ukrainian Meat Industry Association's analytics unit forecasts live-weight pig purchase prices of 68-69 UAH/kg for November 9-15, 2026, with the trend still downward. African swine fever outbreaks in central Ukrainian regions are reported and pressuring prices, and the article cites German VEZG and Polish CennikRolnicze pig price levels.
Pig price weakness driven by African swine fever raises disease risk for the sector and reduces hog producers' margins, which can lower near-term demand for feed in Ukraine. The effect on feed-commodity prices is limited.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.