
The US dollar closed up 0.86% in Brazil on August 13, 2018, at BRL 3.8973. The move followed Turkey's announcement of a USD 6 billion cash injection to support its banks and limit the lira's decline.
The Ibovespa index rose 1.28% the same day.
A stronger dollar against the real makes Brazilian soybean, corn and meal exports cheaper in dollar terms, which tends to pressure global feed prices. The effect here is from emerging-market contagion rather than agricultural supply.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Turkish lira crisis triggered broad emerging-market risk-off and dollar strength, lifting USD/BRL to 3.8973 on Aug 13, directly within the move window.