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Stay-at-home orders and social distancing across the US are shifting how consumers buy beef and dairy. Futures and fed cattle prices fell to $105 to $112 live, while wholesale boxed beef Choice and Select cuts jumped more than $43 in the week of March 20.
CattleFax analyst Lance Zimmerman warned that food service losses will weigh on beef demand later in 2020.
Weaker expected beef demand and a divergence between cash cattle and boxed beef prices point to lower cattle values and potentially reduced feedlot placements, which pressure feed ingredient demand.
agproud.comDavid Cooper2020年3月27日在过去 70 次看跌的疫病事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 46 次看跌的疫病事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +1.8%。
在过去 22 次中性的疫病事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（41% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +0.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Economists warn that food service losses from shutdowns will weigh on beef demand later in 2020, a bearish demand sentiment factor for feeder cattle.
