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Government biosecurity experts warn that a detection of lumpy skin disease in northern Australia would likely lead to state borders closing to cattle movements. Thousands of head move daily between NSW and Queensland and between the Northern Territory and South Australia, so closures would disrupt trade.
A domestic outbreak would halt live cattle movements and exports of hides, milk and boxed beef, pressuring Australian cattle prices while lifting uncertainty premiums in the market.
在过去 46 次看跌的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.8%。
在过去 70 次看跌的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。