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US ultra-low sulfur diesel futures rose about 8% to their highest since February, outpacing crude and gasoline. Analysts said diesel supply is most exposed to the Middle East conflict because the Middle East is a major distillate export hub and medium heavy-sour crude used for distillates could be disrupted.
Fears of disruption to Middle East distillate and crude exports raise diesel and crude prices, with diesel feed-cost and freight-related inputs likely to firm.
reuters.comShariq Khan2025年6月13日在过去 250 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +8.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Diesel futures rose about 8% to a multi-month high, outpacing crude because the Middle East is a major distillate export hub, so distillate supply risk is amplified.
Diesel futures outpaced crude and gasoline because the Middle East is a major distillate export hub, explaining diesel's outsized move.
US diesel futures rose about 8% on Middle East distillate supply exposure, a concurrent effect of the same shock.
Diesel futures rose 8% on exposure of distillate supply to the Middle East conflict, which reflects and reinforces the crude rally.
