
Lombard Odier's September FX outlook says the dollar's correction has not yet run its course, though the pace of decline should slow. The bank keeps its year-end euro-dollar forecast at 1.21 and cites Fed average inflation targeting, negative US real yields, and dollar overvaluation as reasons for further downside.
A continued weaker dollar would support dollar-priced commodity prices and US export competitiveness, though the outlook expects more two-way price action in the near term.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。