
Lagarde said the ECB is closely watching the euro, which rose 9% in 2020 to above $1.23, its biggest annual gain in four years. Currency strategists argue that several factors still point to further euro gains despite ECB concern.
The strength is also a headwind for German exporters, whose DAX companies earn 70% of sales outside Europe.
Currency strategists expecting further euro gains imply continued dollar weakness, which tends to support dollar-denominated commodity prices. A firmer euro also raises the cost of EU imports priced in dollars.
在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。