
The dollar edged higher on Friday but was set to finish 2023 with its first yearly loss since 2020 against the euro and a basket of currencies. The decline accelerated after the Fed adopted an unexpectedly dovish tone at its December meeting and projected 75 basis points of cuts for 2024.
A weaker dollar makes dollar-priced grains, oilseeds and meals cheaper for overseas buyers, which tends to support US commodity prices. Markets now expect the first cut around March and roughly 158 basis points of easing by year-end.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。