
Drought is driving beef cow herd liquidation at the fastest pace since 1984, with beef cow slaughter up 14.7% year over year. Drought continues to push feeder cattle and calves into feedlots, adding to fed cattle and beef supply through early 2023.
La Niña is expected to keep the Central Plains and western Corn Belt dry into a third winter.
Reduced cow herds tighten future beef supply, supporting fed cattle prices toward the mid-$150 range. Rising corn and soybean costs and reduced hay production raise feeding costs for producers.
在过去 80 次看涨的天气事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。