NDSU notes that North Dakota, most of South Dakota and northwest Minnesota have drought conditions, with tight 2020-21 ending stocks putting extra focus on weather. The article explains that Drought Monitor categories D0 to D4 reflect soil depth, and that drought does not always cut yields if rains are well timed.
It also warns that localized drought can complicate farm marketing plans.
Tight ending stocks mean drought in the northern Plains could move corn and soybean prices if yields fall, but the impact depends on timing of rain during flowering and seed development.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。