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Rabobank analyst Tom Bailey says global dairy markets remain near the edge of profitability amid trade tensions, rising milk output and expected feed price increases. US All-Milk fell to $15.30 per cwt in February, while corn futures are trading above $4 per bushel through 2018 and into 2019 for the first time since 2014.
Chinese buyers have driven much of global import growth.
Rising corn prices raise dairy feed costs while ample milk supply caps milk prices, squeezing producer margins. For feed buyers, stronger corn and a looming spring flush point to tighter dairy feed margins.
hoards.comTom Bailey, Rabobank2018年5月10日在过去 151 次看涨的宏观事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.4%），20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（33% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%），20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
