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USDA Outlook Forum commentary noted US dairy cow numbers were up 100,000 year over year in December, the largest gain in some time and the highest since the mid-1980s. Historical data suggests such production growth has usually been followed by lower Class III prices over the following six months.
Historically large herd and output growth points to sustained downward pressure on milk prices, lowering dairy-sector demand for feed in the medium term.
在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。