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Dairy economist Bob Cropp estimated that about 10% too much milk exists because COVID-19 cut restaurant and school sales of cheese and butter. Butter, block and barrel cheese, and nonfat dry milk prices all dropped sharply from January to April 22.
A roughly 10% surplus against collapsed foodservice demand drives Class III and other milk prices lower, and processors are cutting intake to rebalance.
farmprogress.comFran O'Leary2020年4月24日在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（33% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%），20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Estimate of a roughly 10% milk oversupply and sharp declines in cheese, butter and NFDM prices through April 22 point to the supply-demand imbalance behind the selloff.
