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Reuters reports that the last U.S. soybean cargo is heading to China ahead of a 25% extra import duty on more than 500 U.S. goods, including soybeans, that takes effect July 6. Beijing's move responds to Washington's plan to tariff $50 billion of Chinese goods.
Buyers are rushing to ship before the duty applies, so U.S. soybean export demand to China is likely to fall sharply after the deadline, pressuring soybean and meal prices.
reuters.comHallie Gu2018年6月29日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The last US soybean cargo heading to China before the July 6 duty meant the trade-flow shock was fully priced, so short-covering and position squaring could drive a sharp bounce.
