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China's soybean imports are expected to fall to roughly 18-20 million tonnes in the fourth quarter, down from 24.1 million a year earlier, according to traders. The decline follows China's retaliatory 25% duty on U.S. soybeans imposed in July, amid a widening tariff dispute.
Lower Chinese purchases reduce global soybean demand and pressure soybean and meal prices, while shifting trade flows toward Brazil. Smaller soymeal supply for feed also tightens protein availability for animal-feed buyers.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。