
China's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs cut its 2018/19 soybean import forecast to 83.65 million tonnes, down 10.2 million from the prior month's 93.85 million. The revision is tied to the ongoing trade dispute with Washington, which included Beijing's additional 25% tariffs on U.S. goods.
A lower Chinese import forecast signals weaker demand for soybeans and meal, which is bearish for global soy prices and for soymeal used in feed. Reduced hog-sector demand for protein feed also points to softer crush demand.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。