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Agrometeorologist Marco Antônio do Santos reports that Brazil's 2017/18 harvest is nearly over, with corn yields lower after the April-May drought. Soybean output is at a record and cotton is on track for a record, while the planned winter wheat area is smaller despite favorable climate.
Record Brazilian soybean supplies add to bearish pressure on soy meal and oil, while lower corn output supports corn prices. Smaller wheat plantings could support wheat later in the year.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。