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Brazilian soybean sowing slowed due to irregular, below-expected rains, and the Paranagua and Parana soybean indicators fell about 1% in the week of Sept. 17-24.
Concerns are growing that adverse weather, the second year in a row, could hurt the safrinha corn crop.
Dry conditions raise the risk of a second consecutive poor safrinha corn crop, which would keep Brazilian corn supplies tight and support feed prices, while weak domestic soybean prices add pressure on the market.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。