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The CNA presented its climate and market outlook for Brazil's 2022/23 first harvest, with an 82% probability that La Niña persists through October to December. Rainfall is expected to be significant in central and northern Brazil but lower in the south, particularly Rio Grande do Sul and part of Santa Catarina.
Likely drier conditions in southern Brazil raise the risk of soybean and corn losses there, which supports prices. Forecast rain in central Brazil partly offsets this, limiting the upside.
revistacultivar.com2022年9月22日在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
