
Some Mato Grosso municipalities have gone 25 days without rain, and farmers in Diamantino and Campo Novo do Parecis are already estimating crop losses. Soil moisture is low after a prior drought, and high temperatures are stressing flowering soybeans.
IMEA expects Mato Grosso to produce about 42 million tonnes from roughly 12 million hectares.
Dry soils and heat during flowering could cut Mato Grosso's output below expectations, supporting soybean and meal prices. The losses would reduce export availability from a key origin.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。